In case you're wondering what one looks like. (See next video)
Thursday, January 30, 2014
The Waybacks' Richard Thompson Jam
If justice prevailed in the world of music, this band would be one of the world's most popular.
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
An early Oscar look
Yes, I was disappointed that some of my favorites didn’t make the cut — I will go to my grave maintaining Before Midnight and Inside Llewyn Davis, neither which were nominated for best picture, are superior to Captain Phillips and Dallas Buyers Club, both of which were. And I still can’t believe neither Emma Thompson for Saving Mr. Banks, nor Oprah Winfrey for The Butler weren’t nominated, but I really can’t quibble with those who did make the cut. The same is true for Robert Redford for All Is Lost. I can’t convince myself Redford was overlooked because the role called for him not to speak through most of the film since just a couple of years ago Jean Dujardin won the Oscar while remaining mostly mum.
But instead of spending a lot of time looking back, I want to look ahead to what is going to happen on Oscar night March 2, when most everyone I know is predicting a split vote with 12 Years a Slave winning best picture and Alfonso Cuarón taking the director’s prize for Gravity.
Personally, I don’t think it’s going to work out that way.
I work in a video store and I’m constantly overhearing customers and co-workers pointing to a certain video and proclaiming it a "great picture." 99.9 per cent of the time the movie they’re referring to comes nowhere close to being a great picture. What they are actually saying is "I really like that movie." Which is OK. Millions upon millions of people really like McDonald’s, but no one will ever consider what they serve there as great cuisine. And it works both ways: I will freely admit to the fact that there are films I know to be "great movies" that I don’t particularly like all that much.
Oscar voters think along the same lines. The winner of the top Oscar is rarely the best picture of the year. It’s more often or not the movie the Oscar voters like the most. This year, Gravity is a far more likeable film than 12 Years a Slave and that’s why I think it will pull off the upset and win the top award.
Look at this way: Suppose you had heard a lot about both films but had seen neither and then one day the postman delivers DVDs of both films to your home. Which one would you decide to watch first? I’m betting most of you would watch Gravity ahead of 12 Years a Slave because from what you’ve already heard Gravity is the more uplifting film while 12 Years could be a real downer. And because the best picture Oscar is chosen through a preferential ballot, I’m betting the majority of voters are going to list Gravity No. 1 or No. 2 on their lists. There’s a slight possibility 12 Years might receive more first place votes than Gravity, but I also think there will be more that list it fourth, fifth or sixth. The bottom line is Gravity is the more likeable film and that’s why I’m picking it to win both picture and directing prizes.
Of course, Gravity has a lot going against it. It’s special-effects driven and a special-effects driven movie has never won the top prize. It’s dominated by a lone female character and a lone female-character-driven film has never won the top prize. And it wasn’t nominated in the screenplay category. The last picture not nominated in either screenplay category to win the top prize was 1997's Titanic.
But even those negatives don’t bode well for 12 Years. If any film comes from the field to take the top prize away from Gravity, I think it will be American Hustle. It, too, is a very likeable movie and what’s more, it’s the overwhelming favorite of the Academy’s largest voting bloc, the Actors Branch. The Actors Branch has 1,183 of the Academy’s 5,755 voting members. The second largest branch is the Sound Branch with 407 voting members. How much do actors love American Hustle? It placed a nominee in all four acting categories and it walked away with the Screen Actors Guild’s awards.
I’ll have all my Oscar predictions around the end of February.
Monday, January 27, 2014
This Week’s DVD Releases
My Top 25 College Basketball Teams
Last week's rank in parenthesis.
1. Arizona 20-0 (1)
2. Michigan State 18-2 (2)
3. Kansas 15-4 (5)
4. Syracuse 19-0 (4)
5. Villanova 17-2 (3)
6. Wichita State 21-0 (8)
7. Creighton 17-3 (11)
8. Wisconsin 17-3 (6)
9. Florida 17-2 (10)
10. Oklahoma State 16-3 (7)
11. Pittsburgh 18-2 (15)
12. Iowa 16-4 (9)
13. Louisville 17-3 (12)
14. Duke 16-4 (16)
15. Michigan 15-4 (19)
16. Iowa State 15-3 (13)
17. San Diego State 18-1 (17)
18. Kentucky 15-4 (18)
19. Ohio State 16-4 (14)
20. Cincinnati 19-2 (21)
21. Massachusetts 17-2 (20)
22. UCLA 16-4 (23)
23. Gonzaga 18-3 (22)
24. Virginia 15-5 (25)
25. St. Louis 18-2 (24)
1. Arizona 20-0 (1)
2. Michigan State 18-2 (2)
3. Kansas 15-4 (5)
4. Syracuse 19-0 (4)
5. Villanova 17-2 (3)
6. Wichita State 21-0 (8)
7. Creighton 17-3 (11)
8. Wisconsin 17-3 (6)
9. Florida 17-2 (10)
10. Oklahoma State 16-3 (7)
11. Pittsburgh 18-2 (15)
12. Iowa 16-4 (9)
13. Louisville 17-3 (12)
14. Duke 16-4 (16)
15. Michigan 15-4 (19)
16. Iowa State 15-3 (13)
17. San Diego State 18-1 (17)
18. Kentucky 15-4 (18)
19. Ohio State 16-4 (14)
20. Cincinnati 19-2 (21)
21. Massachusetts 17-2 (20)
22. UCLA 16-4 (23)
23. Gonzaga 18-3 (22)
24. Virginia 15-5 (25)
25. St. Louis 18-2 (24)
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Tuesday, January 21, 2014
A quick Oscar thought
Although I will learn more after this weekend, if you asked me right now I would argue we’re going to have another split in Oscar voting with 12 Years a Slave taking home the trophy for best picture and Alfonso Cuaron winning the directing Oscar for Gravity. I will have all my predictions at the beginning of February.
Meet the new boss, not as strong as the old boss
Newly appointed City Manager A.C. Gonzalez, Dallas' answer to Howdy Doody |
Turns out I was wrong. Way wrong. 180 degrees wrong.
The City Council severely chastised Gonzalez for his actions in the Uber Affair and afterwards realized "Hey, this guy now knows his place. We can keep our collective feet on his throat and he will scream ‘Thank you!’."
According to the outlines of the City Council-Manager form of government, the role of the council is set policy and it’s the role of the City Manager to run the city. And publicly, all the parties involved express fealty to that concept.
However, in reality, this council, one of this most incompetent in memory, has decided that it is going to run the city and the last thing they want in the City Manager’s office is a strong leader like immediate past City Manager Mary Suhm. When council members talk about "change" at City Hall and keeping Gonzalez "on a short leash," this is what they are talking about: "From now on, we’re running things here and neither you nor anybody else better get in the way."
That’s why Gonzalez, who, because of Uber, has become the council’s whipping boy, was named City Manager today instead of the much stronger candidate, David Cooke, a former county manager in North Carolina, who would have run the city as he saw fit, much in the same way Suhm did. (Cooke was also "cooked" as a candidate because he is a white male. Hate to admit it, but that’s an accurate statement.)
I also think Cooke wouldn’t have lasted much more than a year in the job. Much sooner than later, he would have thrown up his hands in disgust at the incompetence of this council and walked away.
Let me tell you just how incompetent this City Council is. If any one of these council members (outside of Mayor Mike Rawlings) really cared about the city as a whole, having a marionette as city manager might not be that bad, at least for a while. But, as was feared by the critics of 14-1 (I most definitely was not one of them) when it was instituted more than 20 years ago, these council members have decided they are the mayors, the bosses, the ward healers of their individual districts, nothing more.
This was abundantly clear recently during the debate over a possible plastic bag ban in Dallas. Every single council member began their individual remarks on this topic with "In my district …," or "What I’m hearing from people in my district …," etc. During a conversation about renovating the dog park at White Rock Lake, the topic became "How come there are no dog parks in my district?" Earlier this week Sandy Greyson became incensed that a study of Dallas County did not include a significant portion of her Far North Dallas District. When she was told that the part of her district that was not included was in either Collin or Denton County, she didn’t care. She wanted all of her district included whether it was a legitimate part of the study or not.
So what I’m seeing is Dallas evolving from a city into 14 individual fiefdoms and today the City Council appointed someone as City Manager who will not stand in the way of that transition. And that’s a tragedy.
Monday, January 20, 2014
This Week’s DVD Releases
My Top 25 College Basketball Teams
Last week's rank in parenthesis
1. Arizona 18-0 (1)
2. Michigan State 17-1 (3)
3. Villanova 16-1 (4)
4. Syracuse 18-0 (5)
5. Kansas 13-4 (9)
6. Wisconsin 16-2 (2)
7. Oklahoma State 15-3 (7)
8. Wichita State 19-0 (10)
9. Iowa 15-3 (11)
10. Ohio State 15-3 (8)
11. Florida 15-2 (12)
12. Iowa State 14-3 (6)
13. Louisville 16-3 (17)
14. Pittsburgh 16-2 (14)
15. Creighton 15-3 (13)
16. Duke 14-4 (21)
17. San Diego State 16-1 (15)
18. Kentucky 13-4 (16)
19. Massachusetts 16-1 (18)
20. Cincinnati 17-2 (19)
21. Michigan 13-4 (NR)
22. Gonzaga 16-3 (22)
23. UCLA 14-4 (24)
24. St. Louis 17-2 (NR)
25. Virginia 13-5 (NR)
Dropped out: Baylor (20), Memphis (23), Oregon (25)
1. Arizona 18-0 (1)
2. Michigan State 17-1 (3)
3. Villanova 16-1 (4)
4. Syracuse 18-0 (5)
5. Kansas 13-4 (9)
6. Wisconsin 16-2 (2)
7. Oklahoma State 15-3 (7)
8. Wichita State 19-0 (10)
9. Iowa 15-3 (11)
10. Ohio State 15-3 (8)
11. Florida 15-2 (12)
12. Iowa State 14-3 (6)
13. Louisville 16-3 (17)
14. Pittsburgh 16-2 (14)
15. Creighton 15-3 (13)
16. Duke 14-4 (21)
17. San Diego State 16-1 (15)
18. Kentucky 13-4 (16)
19. Massachusetts 16-1 (18)
20. Cincinnati 17-2 (19)
21. Michigan 13-4 (NR)
22. Gonzaga 16-3 (22)
23. UCLA 14-4 (24)
24. St. Louis 17-2 (NR)
25. Virginia 13-5 (NR)
Dropped out: Baylor (20), Memphis (23), Oregon (25)
Saturday, January 18, 2014
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Oscar Predictions
If my predictions are correct, 12 Years a Slave will garner the most nominations (13) when the Motion Picture Academy announces their choices this morning. |
The Academy Award nominations will be announced in a couple of hours so I’d better hustle to get my final predictions out there.
I have some caveats: Although I’ve listed the maximum number of pictures that can be nominated for the top award, I doubt the Academy will go with that many. This was an excellent year for movies, however, so there might be as many as nine nominees and, if that’s the case, The Butler will probably get bumped from the list. I’m also afraid the superb Inside Llewyn Davis, based on the guild nominations so far, may not make the final cut. And, although I don’t have it listed, nothing would make me happier than to see the magnificent Before Midnight make the cut.
I’m also nervous about including Tom Hanks in the supporting actor category. I would not be shocked to see him bumped by either the late James Gandolfini for Enough Said or Daniel Bruhl for Rush.
With that in mind, here are my picks:
PICTURE
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
The Butler
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Saving Mr. Banks
The Wolf of Wall Street
ACTOR
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost
ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyongo, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, The Butler
DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street
ANIMATED FEATURE
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Grandmaster
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
Omar
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
20 Feet From Stardom
The Act of Killing
Blackfish
The Square
Stories We Tell
PRODUCTION DESIGN
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
CINEMATOGRAPHY
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
COSTUME DESIGN
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
Oz The Great and Powerful
Saving Mr. Banks
EDITING
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Wolf of Wall Street
MAKEUP AND HAIR STYLING
American Hustle
Dallas Buyers Club
The Great Gatsby
SCORE
12 Years a Slave
All Is Lost
The Book Thief
Gravity
Saving Mr. Banks
SOUND EDITING
12 Years a Slave
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Rush
SOUND MIXING
12 Years a Slave
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Rush
VISUAL EFFECTS
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
World War Z
Monday, January 13, 2014
This Week’s DVD Releases
My Final Top 25 College Football Teams for 2013
Sorry I'm so late posting this. Previous ranking in parenthesis.
1. Florida State 14-0 (1)
2. Auburn 12-2 (4)
3. Alabama 12-2 (2)
4. Missouri 12-2 (8)
5. Michigan State 13-1 (7)
6. Stanford 11-3 (3)
7. Oregon 11-2 (9)
8. South Carolina 11-2 (11)
9. Baylor 11-2 (5)
10. Oklahoma 11-2 (14)
11. Clemson 11-2 (13)
12. Ohio State 12-2 (6)
13. UCLA 10-3 (17)
14. Oklahoma State 10-3 (12)
15. LSU 10-3 (15)
16. Arizona State 10-4 (10)
17. Central Florida 12-1 (23)
18. Louisville 12-1 (19)
19. Washington 9-4 (21)
20. Texas A&M 9-4 (20)
21. Southern California 10-4 (22)
22. Wisconsin 9-4 (16)
23. Georgia 8-5 (18)
24. Notre Dame 9-4 (24)
25. Mississippi 8-5 (NR)
Dropped out: Iowa (25)
1. Florida State 14-0 (1)
2. Auburn 12-2 (4)
3. Alabama 12-2 (2)
4. Missouri 12-2 (8)
5. Michigan State 13-1 (7)
6. Stanford 11-3 (3)
7. Oregon 11-2 (9)
8. South Carolina 11-2 (11)
9. Baylor 11-2 (5)
10. Oklahoma 11-2 (14)
11. Clemson 11-2 (13)
12. Ohio State 12-2 (6)
13. UCLA 10-3 (17)
14. Oklahoma State 10-3 (12)
15. LSU 10-3 (15)
16. Arizona State 10-4 (10)
17. Central Florida 12-1 (23)
18. Louisville 12-1 (19)
19. Washington 9-4 (21)
20. Texas A&M 9-4 (20)
21. Southern California 10-4 (22)
22. Wisconsin 9-4 (16)
23. Georgia 8-5 (18)
24. Notre Dame 9-4 (24)
25. Mississippi 8-5 (NR)
Dropped out: Iowa (25)
My Top 25 College Basketball Teams
Last week's rank in parenthesis
1. Arizona 18-0 (1)
2. Wisconsin 18-1 (3)
3. Villanova 15-1 (6)
4. Michigan State 15-1 (5)
5. Syracuse 20-0 (7)
6. Iowa State 15-1 (4)
7. Ohio State 15-2 (2)
8. Oklahoma State 14-2 (8)
9. Wichita State 17-0 (9)
10. Kansas 11-4 (11)
11. Iowa 14-3 (15)
12. Florida 14-2 (18)
13. Pittsburgh 15-1 (14)
14. Creighton 14-2 (17)
15. Kentucky 12-3 (20)
16. San Diego State 14-1 (16)
17. Massachusetts 14-1 (22)
18. Louisville 14-3 (12)
19. Cincinnati 17-2 (24)
20. Duke 13-4 (19)
21. Baylor 13-2 (23)
22. Gonzaga 14-3 (13)
23. Memphis 12-3 (NR)
24. Oregon 14-3 (10)
25. Colorado 14-3 (21)
Dropped out: UCLA (25)
1. Arizona 18-0 (1)
2. Wisconsin 18-1 (3)
3. Villanova 15-1 (6)
4. Michigan State 15-1 (5)
5. Syracuse 20-0 (7)
6. Iowa State 15-1 (4)
7. Ohio State 15-2 (2)
8. Oklahoma State 14-2 (8)
9. Wichita State 17-0 (9)
10. Kansas 11-4 (11)
11. Iowa 14-3 (15)
12. Florida 14-2 (18)
13. Pittsburgh 15-1 (14)
14. Creighton 14-2 (17)
15. Kentucky 12-3 (20)
16. San Diego State 14-1 (16)
17. Massachusetts 14-1 (22)
18. Louisville 14-3 (12)
19. Cincinnati 17-2 (24)
20. Duke 13-4 (19)
21. Baylor 13-2 (23)
22. Gonzaga 14-3 (13)
23. Memphis 12-3 (NR)
24. Oregon 14-3 (10)
25. Colorado 14-3 (21)
Dropped out: UCLA (25)
Monday, January 6, 2014
This Week’s DVD Releases
My Top 25 College Basketball Teams
Last week's ratings in parenthesis
1. Arizona 16-0 (1)
2. Ohio State 15-0 (3)
3. Wisconsin 17-1 (4)
4. Iowa State 14-0 (6)
5. Michigan State 13-1 (8)
6. Syracuse 18-0 (5)
7. Oklahoma State 12-2 (2)
8. Villanova 13-1 (7)
9. Oregon 14-1 (9)
10. Kansas 9-4 (10)
11. Wichita State 15-0 (11)
12. Louisville 13-2 (15)
13. Iowa 12-3 (13)
14. Gonzaga 14-2 (22)
15. Pittsburgh 13-1 (18)
16. Duke 11-3 (16)
17. Florida 12-2 (14)
18. Massachusetts 12-1 (12)
19. Creighton 12-2 (23)
20. Kentucky 10-3 (17)
21. Colorado 13-2 (20)
22. Baylor 12-1 (19)
23. San Diego State 12-1 (24)
24. Cincinnati 15-2 (NR)
25. Memphis 10-3 (21)
Dropped out: Missouri (25)
1. Arizona 16-0 (1)
2. Ohio State 15-0 (3)
3. Wisconsin 17-1 (4)
4. Iowa State 14-0 (6)
5. Michigan State 13-1 (8)
6. Syracuse 18-0 (5)
7. Oklahoma State 12-2 (2)
8. Villanova 13-1 (7)
9. Oregon 14-1 (9)
10. Kansas 9-4 (10)
11. Wichita State 15-0 (11)
12. Louisville 13-2 (15)
13. Iowa 12-3 (13)
14. Gonzaga 14-2 (22)
15. Pittsburgh 13-1 (18)
16. Duke 11-3 (16)
17. Florida 12-2 (14)
18. Massachusetts 12-1 (12)
19. Creighton 12-2 (23)
20. Kentucky 10-3 (17)
21. Colorado 13-2 (20)
22. Baylor 12-1 (19)
23. San Diego State 12-1 (24)
24. Cincinnati 15-2 (NR)
25. Memphis 10-3 (21)
Dropped out: Missouri (25)
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
A Glimpse at the Acting Oscar Races
I see the same five nominees in the lead actor race that I predicted earlier in the year, but I do see support slipping for Robert Redford and Tom Hanks and increasing for Matthew McConaughey and Bruce Dern. Lurking outside the Top 5 is Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street and if Hanks’ support keeps dropping, DiCaprio could claim his spot.
Four of the five nominees in the lead actress category appear locked in and the fifth spot could go either to Meryl Streep, whom I still picking at this time but who is losing support, or Amy Adams for American Hustle. It also appears four of the five nominees are there just to fill out the field in a category that Cate Blanchett is a solid pick to win.
The supporting actor category is one of the most fluid. Three nominees — Abdi, Fassbinder, and Leto, — seem like sure bets with Leto the current favorite to win. The last two spots could go to any one of four contenders: Daniel Bruhl (Rush) Cooper, James Gandolfini (Enough Said) or Hanks. Also lurking in the periphery is Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street).
Right now I can’t see anyone else cracking the five nominees I’ve listed in the supporting actress category.
Lead Actor
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost
Lead Actress
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philhomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbinder, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyongo, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, The Butler
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