Early (extremely) Oscar betting line

We’re getting close to being halfway through the year, which means it’s time for the first round of Oscar favorites. After all, it’s never too early. (Actually, it could be too early, but why should that stop me).

So here we go:

Likely picture nominees
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
The Great Gatsby
The Hobbit An Unexpected Journey
Hyde Park on the Hudson
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Zero Dark Thirty

Likely director nominees
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Likely actor nominees
John Hawkes, Six Sessions
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on the Hudson

Likely actress nominees
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Helen Hunt, Six Sessions
Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Laura Linney, Hyde Park on the Hudson
Carey Mulligan, The Great Gatsby

Likely supporting actor nominees
Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Bill Murray, Moonrise Kingdom
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

Likely supporting actress nominees
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Vanessa Redgrave, Song for Marion
Olivia Williams, Hyde Park on the Hudson

Likely winners
Lincoln
Spielberg
Lewis
Linney
Phoenix
Hathaway

Before we get too carried away here, Spielberg has had a habit in the last half dozen or so years of having his big picture jump out to the early frontrunner status, only to see it fade once the picture was released. (Munich, War Horse). As for me, I’m not giving up on Les Miserables.