December's Oscar forecast

Picture
No one will know how many films will be nominated for the top award. It can be as few asfive or, at the most, ten. I'm betting it will be these seven, listed, as all the others, in alphabetical order:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
War Horse

Director
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Steven Daldry, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Michel Hazanabvicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Steven Spielberg, War Horse

Actress
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

Actor
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fasssbinder, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branaugh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Dangerously Close

Original Screenplay
The Artist
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
Young Adult

Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Moneyball
War Horse